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Russia’s Role in Syria: Unanswered Questions at a Russian Airbase

HMEIMIM AIRBASE, SYRIA – Amidst the rumble of a Sukhoi fighter aircraft piercing the clouds, a monumental shift is underway at Russia’s Hmeimim Airbase in Syria. Once a symbol of fear for rebels like Abu Zaid, the airbase is now a melting pot of unusual alliances and shifting loyalties.

The Situation at Hmeimim Airbase

A mere eight days ago, Abu Zaid and his fellow insurgents were adversaries of Russian soldiers, engaged in a fierce conflict. Today, they stand shoulder to shoulder, charged with protecting those who were once their enemies. This unexpected turn of events sheds light on the seismic changes sweeping through Syria, as rebels’ recent offensive ousted Syrian President Bashar Assad and left Moscow in a precarious position.

Russian Relations with Rebels

Inside Hmeimim Airbase, a representative of Russia’s military shared insights into the evolving dynamics. Despite past hostilities, relations with the rebels are now described as “quite good.” Coordination with the new authorities signals a tentative hope for maintaining friendly relations, avoiding provocative actions that could reignite conflict.

The Uncertain Future

Assad’s abrupt departure from Hmeimim Airbase has cast a shadow of uncertainty over Russia’s military presence in Syria. With Hmeimim and Tartous under Russian control since 2017, questions loom over the extent of Moscow’s involvement in the country’s future. Recent movements of Russian troops suggest a strategic repositioning rather than a complete withdrawal, leaving observers to speculate on the next chapter in this complex saga.

A Glimpse of Daily Life

Beyond the military maneuvers, the impact of Russian presence at Hmeimim extends to the nearby city of Jableh. The once bustling streets now bear signs in Cyrillic alongside Arabic, catering to Russian servicemen’s needs. Souvenir shops brimming with memorabilia celebrating Russian-Syrian cooperation face an uncertain fate, caught between conflicting loyalties and economic realities.

Personal Reflection

Ali Daqouq, a local shop owner, grapples with the shifting sands of geopolitics as he contemplates the fate of his souvenir business. Tasked with destroying merchandise commemorating Russian-Syrian ties, he faces a dilemma: uphold new directives or seize the opportunity to sell what remains. His story mirrors the broader tensions and uncertainties gripping Syria, where individual choices intersect with larger political forces in unpredictable ways.

As the dust settles over Hmeimim Airbase, one thing remains clear: Russia’s role in Syria is far from settled, leaving both locals and global observers on edge. As alliances shift and power dynamics evolve, the future of this war-torn nation hangs in the balance, with Hmeimim Airbase standing as a symbol of hope, fear, and the complexities of conflict.